Sunday, June 27, 2010

Replay, Mr. Blatter?

I know that I’ve been harping on this for a while, but when is FIFA going to realize that goal-line technology is essential to soccer? To be honest, the introduction of technology into the game should not be limited to goal-line technology. FIFA should also allow fourth officials to use video analysis in order to aid the referees, and keep them from making game-changing decisions that only hinder the contest.

This year’s world cup has already been marred by a number of no-goal decisions, two of them victimizing the United States. However, no decision - or no-decision – will prove more controversial than the one that basically sealed England’s fate in South Africa. Frank Lampard’s shot was clearly a goal, and an impressive one at that, and the referee’s failure to recognize it as such completely changed the dynamic of the game. Had the goal counted, England and Germany would have ended the half tied, and while the latter was clearly the superior team, psychologically, the English would have felt like they were in it. As it stood, England had to chase the game, exposing the team at the back – something that Die Mannschaft’s counterattacking prowess took full advantage of.

Apart from disallowing or allowing goals, overzealous referees are also tarnishing the game by pulling their card trigger a little too soon, or for no reason at all. I’m not simply referring to red cards, but yellows as well, as their accumulation leads to a one game suspension. All one has to do is review a few of the games played so far to see at least one case where a player has been hard-done by stringent refereeing. Switzerland’s world cup dreams all but ended when Behrami received a straight red for a seemingly innocuous, and unintentional elbow to a Chilean player. Gourkuff received the same punishment for the same offense, when France was already doing a good enough job of destroying its world cup hopes.

As this world cup marches ahead, there’s no doubt that bad calls will continue to be made, which is completely understandable as referees and lines-men are only human. Still, it is FIFA’s responsibility to overturn bad calls when bad calls are made. And for those of you, who believe that technology will only belittle referees, think of Koman Coulibaly’s fate after he disallowed America’s game-winning goal against Slovenia. So, replay, Mr. Blatter?

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Soccer Films: Review of "Goal Dreams"


Set against the backdrops of Ismailia (Egypt), Gaza (Palastine), Beirut (Lebanon), Doha (Qatar), and Santiago (Chile), Jeffrey Sauders’ and Maya Sambar’s Goal Dreams, documents the Palestinian national team’s attempt to qualify for the 2006 world cup in Germany.

Only recently recognized by FIFA (1998), the team’s existence rests heavily on its ability to gather talent from the (largely unknown) Palestinian diaspora – some players come from as far as Chile, where the domestic soccer league includes the Palestino team – as well as the few domestically based players who spend much of the film seeking to cross the Israeli controlled border into Egypt in order to attend the team’s training camp.

Much of the film centers on the inherent conflict caused by the hasty aggregation of players of Palestinian descent from disparate cultures, as well as the added “leadership” provided by Alfred Riedle, the slightly naïve, yet experienced Austrian coach, whose on-field instructions are often butchered by a Palestinian translator who doesn’t seem to have great command of the English language (a fact that is emphasized by Morad Farid, a New York City based player).

The Palestinian “melting pot” gains new momentum when the Gaza based players are finally able to join the rest of the team fifteen days into training camp. The Gaza players, who are represented by the goalkeeper, Ramzi Saleh, bring with them the inexorable burden of having to deal with the casualties of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. This is evidenced in what is perhaps one of the film’s most affecting scenes. Faced with frowning players at the beginning of a practice, Riedle attempts to make a joke at their expense, only to realize that they’d recently heard that five of their friends had been killed in an Israeli air raid. Instead of trying to provide some comfort to his players, the Austrian shockingly scolds the players for not informing him of the event beforehand, highlighting the disconnect between the “mercenary” coach, and the lives of his Gaza players.

Goal Dreams finds its climax in Doha (unable to play in Palestine, the team depends on surrogate home fields), where the team is to face the Uzbek national team, in what is the decisive game for Palestinian hope of qualification. Oil-rich Qatar is a serendipitously fitting setting for such a game, as it contrasts the deep divide between one Middle-Eastern country’s incredible wealth, and another’s dilapidated state.

Almost by default, movies that revolve around emotionally charged content of this sort run the risk of self-destructing by appealing too much to sentiment. However, Saunders and Sambar cautiously steer clear of dripping sentimentality by breaking up emotive content with cleverly placed comic relief provided by Riedle and his adjusting players. As such, both filmmakers produce a film that captures not only the trials of running a fledgling national team, but also the desire to establish a Palestinian identity that is so conditioned by external influences.

Monday, June 21, 2010

Drawing Conclusions: Groups Stage 2/3 Complete



Raul Meireles & Tiago celebrate Portugal's first goal (photo by Lars Baron/Getty Images)

All the second group games have been played; thus, it is time for another installment of “Drawing Conclusions,” this time with addition of the Bigsoccerhead Offside Award ™, which will reward the biggest refereeing blunder of the week (we all know who the this week’s recipient will be).

Best Team: Portugal

In my analysis of Portugal’s world cup chances, I wrote that Portugal’s performances oscillate between brilliant and down-right pathetic. The Portuguese game against the Ivory Coast could well be categorized as pathetic, given the team’s lack of offense. However, the game against North Korea was a stark reminder that when the team clicks, it is capable of beating anyone. Of course, we mustn’t forget that Portugal netted seven goals against world cup minnows North Korea, and not a more reputable team. But then again how many surprising results have the supposed “small fish” of the tournament pulled off so far?

Worst Team: England

Italy could be called the worst team of the week, but at least they showed some semblances of worthy attacks against New Zealand. To be fair, the Azzuri should have won the game. England, on the other hand, has shown no sign of being an effective team anywhere on the field. Against Algeria, the Three Lions were out of ideas, at a certain point relying on aimless crosses that never reached their intended targets. A similar performance against the Slovenians will almost certainly oust the team from the cup. Can you imagine the fallout?

Most Surprising Team: New Zealand

Sure the Italians got unlucky, but the Kiwis deserve a lot of credit for their defensive organization. The only legitimate Italian threats came from shots that were taken from outside the box. And even if the Islanders spent most of the time defending, they did manage some notable offensive forays.

Most Disappointing Team: Slovakia

I didn’t anticipate a very strong run from the Slovakian’s; nevertheless, the Slovakians never looked like they could get anything out of their game against Paraguay. From the very beginning, Slovakia was pegged back by the South Americans. Where did Napoli’s Hamsik go?

Most Surprising Result: France 0 Mexico 2

The fact that Mexico won isn’t what’s surprising. It’s the fact that the French never looked like they could score. Did the French even play with a forward? Oh Yes, Anelka was subbed at the half, and got on the first plane heading to the land of fraternity. Oh wait…

Most Impressive Player: Tiago

When it was reported that Deco would be unable to play against North Korea, the Portuguese took a collective deep breath, and braced for the worst. The Brazilian-born playmaker has been the team’s offensive catalyst since Rui Costa’s retirement, and there have been doubts whether there’s an adequate replacement in the squad. Tiago has all but crushed those doubts. The Atletico Madrid playmaker took Deco’s place and put on a clinic against the North Koreans. Starting with a wonderful assist to Raul Meireles’ goal, Tiago went on to score two of Portugal’s seven goals. Now it would be hard to foresee Tiago spending any more time on the bench.

Most Disappointing Player: Wayne Rooney

So far England’s hope hasn’t rewritten the future (that’s a reference to the Nike commercial for all you half time mutters). Perhaps he’s a victim of his team’s ineptitude, but the striker has yet to find the back of the net, and he doesn’t even look close. Towards the end of the game against Algeria, Rooney was busier sulking than anything else. And once the whitle, his infamous temper took hold, as he berated the English fans for booing.

Bigsoccerhead Knucklehead Moment ™: Kakà’s Second Yellow

Not one pundit believes that Kakà should have been sent off for his elbowing of Keita. I’ll be the contrarian. While Keita made a meal of the situation, the elbowing was intentional. He didn’t hit him in the face, but he hit him nonetheless. I can’t blame the Brazilian for wanting to hurt the Ivorian, as the latter was determined to injure one of the Brazilians, yet Kakà should have been less rash, especially for such a devoutly pious man.

Bigsoccerhead Offside Award ™: Koman Coulibaly’s Call Against the USA

Perhaps Coulibaly shouldn’t get as much of the blame as Mr. Blatter, FIFA’s president. After all, it is the latter who refuses to use instant replay to validate, or invalidate goals. And it is Blatter who will roast the African for his blunder. Mr. Coulibaly’s biggest mistake, apart from making the terrible call, was to deny having made a bad call at all. Still, this is on the FIFA president, who believes that video replay will take away from the passion that makes the game so great. Mr. Blatter better hope a similar mistake doesn’t occur with a bigger team than the USA – or in the final, for that matter – because if it does, passion may result in the torching and pillaging of a South African town.

Sunday, June 20, 2010

Soccer Films: Goal Dreams by Jeffrey Saunders


Goal Dreams by filmmaker Jeffrey Saunders is screening next week during World Cup events at Play Beautiful NYC, an amazing venue at 201 Mulberry. playbeautifulnyc

Synopsys:

Goal Dreams is the story of a team like no other. The feature film follows the Palestinian national soccer team as it attempts to qualify for the World Cup. The team must overcome obstacles of physical, emotional, cultural and geographical nature just to exist. Watch as they learn to forge a common bond and a 'nation' learns the hope and tragedy that lay within dreams. (goaldreams)

Q/A after with Jeffrey Saunders and former Palestinian national team player Morad Fareed.

Tuesday, June 22nd, 7pm
Play Beautiful
201 Mulberrry st, NYC

free tickets

England, France & Italy: Impotent Powerhouses

While there were questions about their world cup readiness, only a few doubted that England, France, and Italy would qualify from their respective groups comfortably. As it stands, though, all three world cup regulars are facing tough games ahead of them, since only wins guarantee their progression to the next round (even though France needs a favorable result in the other group A game). Only making this task more difficult is the fact that all three teams are facing turmoil outside the lines. Achieving the desired result in this world cup is proving hard enough, so will the squabbles that were once reserved for the Dutch dictate a premature end to these traditional world cup powers?

England

On the Pitch

There were a number of difficulties facing the England team long before the start of the world cup. For one thing, there were questions about Rooney’s potential partner up-front. So far, Heskey has gotten the nod in both games, but apart from claiming an assist in Gerrard’s goal against the US, the Villa striker has been rather innocuous. The problem is that England doesn’t really have any other reliable options. While Crouch has an enviable scoring record for his country, he spends most of the game wandering aimlessly, and Defoe has never been able to replicate his club form when playing for his nation. Another problem facing the English is their lack of width. This isn’t really a surprise given the fact that Gerrard is back playing on the left side of midfield, now that Barry is fit. For all his talent, the England captain has never been able to play to his ability as a winger. England’s injuries have also created problems at the back. The three lions suffered a huge blow losing Rio Ferdinand, and King’s (predicted) physical ailments are only adding to England’s already shaky defense.

Off the Pitch

When he took over as England manager, Capello was regarded as a savior. His austere manner was perceived as the remedy to the brashness that pervaded the team, and subordinated the necessary “team first” attitude. That may have been the case had England started the world cup on the right foot, but unfortunately that isn’t the case, and as a result players are seeking a different, softer, and more personable side to Cappelo - one, which the Italian doesn’t seem to have. There had been warning signs of Capello’s inability to be simpatico. When the whole Terry – Bridge saga erupted, the Italian left the cleaning duties to his second in command, and according to reports, never even approached the participating players about the regrettable event. Now, as self-doubt, and ill feeling diffuse through the England camp, there are reports that Capello doesn’t even acknowledge the players outside of practice, apparently walking by them without even uttering an hello. Additionally, there is a lot of unrest surrounding his line-up policy (Capello will only announce his starting eleven two hours before kick-off). The players have already aired out their grievances in a team meeting, but with the likes of Terry publicly calling for line-up changes, the Three Lions could find taking the thorn out of their foot a little hard.

France

On the Pitch

Zinedine Zidane has declared that the French play like isolated individuals who lack direction, and more importantly, have a coach who is incapable of giving them any. Fellow world cup winner, and now New Yorker, Yuri Djorkaeff, reportedly refuses to support the team out of embarrassment (rumor has it he recently declined an invitation to watch the game at a Francophile bar for that reason). Given that both men led France to its football zenith, it would be silly to disagree with their assessment of the team. It’s amazing how a team comprised of so many world-class players can do so poorly, especially against inferior opposition. The team’s main problem is its lack of offense. Much maligned Domenech has employed Anelka as an isolated striker, supported by three attacking midfielders. Anelka, however, isn’t a box striker, and he refuses to fill that role, and as a result, players like Ribery don’t have a forward they can play off of effectively. The team also lacks a player who can take control of the game. For all his talent, Ribery is a winger, and wingers are usually the beneficiaries of good midfield play, and not the ones who pull the strings. Bordeaux man, Gourcuff, was supposed to be the team’s Zizou this year, but apparently some players on the team requested Domenech bench him.

Off the Pitch

Anelka’s refusal to adapt his game to the team’s strategy is what allegedly led to his argument with Domenech, which consequently landed him on a plane back to France. His dismissal has prompted an all-out mutiny in the French camp, “captained” by Patrice Evra who is far more concerned with the supposed “traitor” who leaked the argument to the media, instead of focusing on reconciling differences, and patching up the ever-growing team fissures. The players’ refusal to practice two days before the team’s final group game is living proof that hostilities will not be overcome.

Italy

On the Pitch

Marchetti looks on in disbelief as the Kiwis strike first (AP Photo/Darko Bandic)

Like the French, the Italians are lacking a defined strategy. The Italian defense is far weaker than it’s ever been, their midfield looks about as creative as white rice, and their offensive play relies on unconvincing, and inconsistent forwards. You know you’re in trouble when your best defender is a 37 year old who’s coming off a less than stellar season, and is heading for the Middle-Eastern football grave. It’s also abundantly clear that the Azzuri cannot function without Pilro. The Milan playmaker dictates the Italian game, and is the link between Italy’s infamous defensive midfield and the attack. If Pilro’s calf does not improve quickly, there is little chance the Italians will move beyond the next round.

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Letter to Michael Davies of ESPN Soccernet

In response to Mr. Davies' article:

http://soccernet.espn.go.com/world-cup/blog?entryID=5294701&name=offtheball&cc=5901&ver=us

Mr. Davies,

Your criticism of Cristiano Ronaldo is completely unwarranted. one can accuse Ronaldo of going down easily, and there is no doubt that his whining is irritating and sometimes overshadows his talent, but calling him a cheater is unjustifiable, unprofessional, and it certainly doesn't excuse his yellow card. Ronaldo, like Messi, is a constant victim of reckless defending, and to criticize him instead of the Ivorian defender who mauled him, reflects your inability to remain unbiased when reporting about the game, as well as your soccer cluelessness.

sincerely

bigsoccerhead

Response by a reader to my comments, and a link to a very good article about Ronaldo's diving courtesy of Lucas Shanks

In total agreement with this. If you're gonna criticize Ronaldo for diving and whining, that's fine, but you better also criticize the dozens of other players who do it just as much or more. The way most people talk (like the announcer in the game) you'd think he's the one and only player in the entire world who has ever taken a dive or whined about not getting a call. And his yellow card was an absolutely terrible call, one of the worst of the Cup so far.

http://thebiglead.com/index.php/2010/06/16/world-cup-cristiano-ronaldo-is-a-cynic-but-not-a-nefarious-villain/

Drawing Conclusions: Groups' First Games

Now that all the first games of the group stages have been played, it’s time to reflect on the best, worst, most surprising, most disappointing, and most purely knuckle-headed moments we’ve had the privilege to see. Oh yes! I almost forgot: what about all those goals we were supposed to see thanks to the world’s most hated ball?

Best Team: Germany

In a tournament marked by tentative play, Germany was the only team that played fluidly, and used the width of the field effectively. After overcoming a couple of nervy hiccups in the first few minutes of the game, the Germans settled down and imposed their will on the Australians who, even with Cahill on the field, never looked like they had a chance.

Worst Team: Greece

Putting aside their dismal word cup record, the Greeks were expected to compete in their group; however, Greece’s embarrassing display against South Korea seems to suggest that there will be little chance of knockout-stage football for the former European cup winners. Seldom did the Hellenes threaten the Koreans; actually, they threatened themselves with their shoddy passing.

Most Surprising Team: South Korea

Everyone knows that the Korans aren’t pushovers, but their performance against the Greeks was a warning to their future opponents. The Koreans looked dominant and relaxed in the midfield, mixing up their passing, and posing a constant threat to the Greek defense.

Most Disappointing Team: Serbia

Much was expected from the potential dark horses, however, similarly to 2006, the eastern Europeans were a huge disappointment, getting outplayed and outfought by a depleted Ghana team. The Serbs could never assert their game, and rarely strung more than a few passes in a row.

Most Surprising Result: Switzerland 1 Spain 0

Who saw this coming? All of a sudden Portugal and the Ivory Coast feel a lot better about second place.

Most Impressive Player: Mezut Oezil

A classy display against Australia has once again put the Werder Bremen midfielder on the radar screen. Oezil’s classy feint opened up the Australian defense for the first goal and he assisted Cacau on the fourth after he once again carved up the Aussies with an insightful run down the left. Oezil’s trickery is a perfect addition to a team that is known for its boring, mechanical, yet effective, style of play.

Most Disappointing Player: Milos Krasic

Krasic definitely didn’t live up to the hype. Seemingly being chased by every major club in Europe, the Serb was supposed to dazzle the world with his speed and ingenuity. Unfortunately, Krasic never broke out of his lull and drifted insignificantly throughout most of the game. On the one occasion he could have scored, Krasic shot directly at the Ghanaian goalkeeper, forcing nothing more than a routine save.

Bigsoccerhead Knuckle-head Moment: Zdravko Kuzmanovic’s Handball

In a tournament where there have been a few knuckle-head moments (think England’s Robert Green and Algeria’s Chaouchi), Kuzmanovic’s handball against Ghana reigns supreme. Why the Serb decided to lift both his hands as he tried to head the ball is anyone’s guess, but no one will doubt whom Serbians will be pointing fingers at if the country fails to qualify for the next round.

Saturday, June 12, 2010

Preview: Serbia vs. Ghana

While Ghana is certainly not the same team without Michael Essien, the African nation is still favored to clinch the second place in group D behind Germany. The Serbs are potential dark horses that have the quality to beat any given team. If there is to be any hope of progressing to the round of 16, neither team can afford to lose the game, and a draw means that the Africans and the Eastern Europeans must get points out of their respective games against Germany.

The Ghanaians will have to rely heavily on the midfield work of Sulley Muntari and Stephan Appiah if they’re to get a good result tomorrow in Pretoria. Their main concern will be to soak up Serbia’s pressure by closing space as they did in the first half of their friendly against Holland a fortnight ago, and then to release the speedy Matthew Amoah. If Ghana decides to take the game to the Serbs, it could leave itself open to the attacks of Serbia’s speedy wingers.

Much more of a possession team, Serbia will have to set the game’s tempo and funnel much of its offense through the wings. Krasic will be a key player, and he should be helped by Chelsea’s Ivanovic who likes to aid the attack. In fact, given Ghana’s organization, the Serbians will have to push their wing defenders forward to create imbalances. Zigic should enjoy a lot of service in the box, and he has the physique to handle Ghana’s bulky defenders.

If Serbia scores early, the Ghanaians will have to discard their defensive tactics in order to look for a goal. As evidenced against Holland, this is when they’re the most vulnerable as they’re slow to get back. The Serbs know that Ghana will sit back and wait for the right time to counter-attack, thus they must stick to their game plan and not get frustrated with a lack of early production. If the Europeans try to force the game, the Ghanaians could prevail by preying on silly mistakes. Expect Serbia to win this game, though, a little more easily than predicted. The team is more experienced, well organized, and hungry to show the world that it can compete with anyone.

Preview: USA vs. England

The US’ game against its former colonizers has been touted as one of the more important games of the group stages. For the Americans, nothing would be sweeter than beating a team that many believe has an inflated view of itself. Nevertheless, team USA is allowed to slip up in this game. It’s Slovenia and Algeria that the Yanks have to beat if they wish to progress to the knockout stages. On the other hand, the English have to live up to the hype about being a potential world champion. If the English don’t perform well, the pressure will mount, and there will be a serious depletion of confidence that could prove insurmountable.

In order for the Americans to win, they will have to deviate from their usual strategy. The US team likes to sit back and hit on the counter, relying on the speed of Donavan and Co. This could be a problematic game plan against the Three Lions. The English have shown that if given too much time to move the ball, they can cause a lot of problems with their flank play, and given Rooney’s newly acquired heading ability, the last thing the Americans want is crosses raining in. The way to beat the English is to try and take the ball away from them. England’s rhythm starts to suffer if they don’t have consistent possession. Additionally, the Americans need to take advantage of Barry’s absence. Barry usually sits back and allows Lampard to attack freely. His injury will probably force Capello to employ Gerrard in the middle with the Chelsea man. This pairing has not always been successful, since both players enjoy pushing forward regularly and tend to forget their defensive duties.

England needs to take advantage of its wing play to cause the US real problems. While Jonathan Spector and Carlos Bocanegra are sound defenders, they lack pace to keep up with Joe Cole, Wright-Phillips, and Aaron Lennon. Perhaps one of the biggest advantages the English have is the fact that Brian Ching will be watching the game on his television in Texas. England has physical centre-backs who will make it very difficult for Altidore to hold the ball up for his midfield support. Altidore is far more comfortable running at the defense from the wings, and Ching’s absence will mean that the US doesn’t have someone who plays in the box.

If the US staves off England’s initial attacks, there is a chance it could pull off an upset, as the English can get easily frustrated, which leads them to abandon their game plan. If the English score early, expect the Yanks to push forward more often, leaving them exposed at the back, which will enable Rooney to cause some serious damage. A one goal tie seems a very realistic score-line, but the game could also end with the English running away with it by three goals to none.

Contenders or Pretenders: Brazil (no) Joga Bonito

The most interesting assessment of Brazil’s chances in the world cup was uttered by ESPN’s Tommy Smyth, who claimed that Brazil would fail to advance out of the group stage, but then quickly added the disclaimer: “but if Brazil do manage to go through, they may win it.” Mr. Smyth’s analysis is either embarrassingly inconsistent, or is just a symptom of Brazil’s unpredictable play.

There are more questions about this year’s squad than there have been about Canarinha teams in the past. This has actually been the norm since Dunga took over in July of 2006, only a few weeks after France ousted the team in that year’s world cup quarterfinals. Dunga has been a constant victim of scathing attacks from the media, as well as the general public for his strict adherence to strategy, his player selection, and the team’s deviation from the type of soccer that makes Brazil…well, Brazil. For the most part, the coach has stuck to his philosophy, and he definitely has not shied away from making tough decisions about players – just ask Ronaldinho. And for all the flak the former world cup winner has received, he already has one Copa America, and one Confederations Cup under his belt.

In the end, no matter how Brazil performs in South Africa, Dunga will continue to have his detractors; the big question is whether or not he’ll have a second trophy in his cabinet to help muffle their whingeing.

Why They’re Contenders


Two defensive midfielders


The Brazilians have always been known for their offense, but it may be their defense that sticks out during this tournament. Dunga has made sure that his midfield is well balanced and relies heavily on a defensive midfield duo that allows attacking midfielders more tactical freedom to create offense. The likely starters will be Filipe Melo and Gilberto Silva, both of whom are strong tacklers and have inexhaustible lungs. Gilberto is one of the more experienced players on the team, which is very important considering Melo’s occasional rashness. If Brazil is to be beaten, opponents need to move the ball fast enough through the midfield, and have to attack in numbers. Both defensive midfielders only look shaky when they’re outnumbered and outpaced, as neither of them is particularly fast. Chances are most of Brazil’s goals will be a result of attacks that originate at Melo’s and Gilberto’s feet after they’ve wrecked someone else’s offensive play.

Attacking wing defenders


All of today’s successful teams, whether club or national, have wing defenders who can support an attack and cause defensive imbalances to opponents. It’s safe to say that whatever team wins the world cup will have had consistent offensive contribution from its wing defenders. In this regard Brazil is probably ahead of every other team in the tournament. In Maicon, the seleção has arguably the best right-sided defender in the world. Where many wing defenders are categorized as being either good defenders, or good attackers, Maicon is both. With his speed, he can mark any winger, his size allows him to pitch in the middle to help the centre-backs, and his fitness and offensive disposition enable him to torment defenses. On the left side, Michel Bastos supports the attack effectively with his speed and powerful shooting. The Lyon player’s defense may not be the best, but with Brazil constantly looking to score, there may be very little for Bastos to do at the back.

Why They’re Pretenders

Kaka’s fitness


This season was not Kaka’s best. The change of league, and his groin problem prevented Brazil’s number ten from performing consistently, and as a result his confidence and playing time took a knock. In order for Brazil to perform at its best level, Kaka must be pulling the strings, and controlling the pace of the game. Two-thirds of the game flows through his feet, and if he’s not at his best, there is no one on the bench who can replace him, whether in quality, or style of play.

Bickering

All of Nike’s Brazilian soccer commercials would have you believe that the Brazilian camp is a harmonious one. Apparently that is not the case. Quite a few players have voiced their displeasure with Dunga’s emphasis on tactical discipline, while others have had some disagreements during practice. Since arriving in South Africa, Kaka has had it out with Filipe Melo for his aggressive tackles, and Julio Sampaio and Dani Alves have also had their quarrels. Some are attributing the arising conflicts to nervousness within the camp, which may derive from the pressure the team is feeling from the fans back across the Atlantic.

The Verdict: Contenders

All things considered, Tommy Smyth may be correct in his assessment of Brazil’s chances. The team will be tested by Portugal and the Ivory Coast, and could potentially lose to either one of them. However, if the Brazilians get through the group, they will have surpassed two very good opponents, and will likely not face many teams that are better on their way to the final. Kaka claims he is feeling close to his best, so he should be ready to guide the team. As for the discord within the squad: We’ve all seen what player conflicts have done to the Dutch teams in the past. If Dunga doesn’t cool hot tempers, Brazil could face the same problems on the field that have prevented the Oranje from doing better than they have. Still, the team should cruise through the group stage and then make its way to the final before lifting a record sixth world cup.

Friday, June 4, 2010

2010's Dark Horses: Portugal's Dimmimg Generation

It isn’t easy being a Portugal fan. Since 2000, the team has oscillated between being brilliant, and utterly incompetent. As a result, Portuguese fans never know what to expect from the team formerly dubbed the “Golden Generation.” During the European cup in 2000, Portugal played free-flowing entertaining football and barely lost to France in the semifinals. Two years later, expectations were high, with Portugal entering the world cup with virtually the same team, and benefiting from what seemed to be a relatively easy group. The expectations, however, were soon dashed when Portugal didn’t make it past the group stage, with an unlikely defeat to the US in the first game, and a self-destructive performance against South Korea, stained by Joao Pinto’s inexcusable red card. The following European cup saw Portugal – playing at home - live up to its billing once again as a football force, reaching the final, but being defeated by Greece. The 2006 world cup in Germany was another successful show with the team finishing fourth, while the last Euro turned into a disappointment when Figo, Ronaldo and co. fell to Germany in the quarterfinals.

This is year Portugal is generally being regarded as a non-threat. Most pundits agree that group G will be dominated by Brazil, and that the Ivory Coast, which many regard as Africa’s most realistic hope of surpassing the quarterfinals, will follow in second. Who can blame them? Portugal went into its qualifying group as a heavy favorite, and was predicted to finish at the top, with Sweden and Denmark fighting to make the playoffs. That didn’t happen. Instead the Portuguese only confirmed their presence in the playoffs on the last day of qualification after Sweden failed to beat Denmark, the eventual group winners. The irony of this whole situation is that Portugal must be the only country in the history of FIFA’s world ranking top three to not be expected to progress past the group stages.

Yet, there are enough reasons for Portugal fans to be optimistic about their team, and it would be silly to dismiss the perennial underachievers. After all, Portugal did manage to qualify when all the odds were against them, and they did so without their captain and talisman, Cristiano Ronaldo. Additionally, the team is tournament tested and includes players who represent some of Europe’s best clubs. Thus, don’t be surprised to see the Portuguese fighting their way past the group stage and then facing Spain in the ultimate showdown for Iberian supremacy. And here’s why:

Reason 1: The pressure is off – Expectations for the Portuguese national team have been high for the better part of the last twenty years. After Portugal defeated Brazil in the final of the under 20 world cup in 1991(under the tutelage of Carlos Quieroz), everyone expected the team’s success to translate to the senior squad. Boasting the likes of Luis Figo, Rui Costa, Fernando Couto, and Paulo Sousa – all of whom went on to enjoy trophy-laden careers on some of Europe’s biggest teams – the belief was that the “Golden Generation” would lift at least one major trophy. Of course that didn’t happen, and now the consensus is that if they couldn’t do it, then the current team cant either. That notion may prove to be a blessing in disguise. The Portuguese players certainly think so. Without the pressure of expectation, Portugal will be more likely to play as if they’ve got nothing to lose. Furthermore, as underdogs, the Portuguese will be cognizant that the pressure will be on Brazil and the Ivory Coast to perform. And while the South Americans are used to dealing with pressure, the Africans are not.

Reason 2:
Possession – While Portugal can be outplayed in many aspects of the game, there is one area where the Portuguese rival the best teams in the world, and that is ball possession. Of course any respectable fan will contend that possession means nothing in a game where the only determiner is putting the ball in the back of the net. Still, while this is obviously true, ball possession is extremely important when it comes to controlling tempo. It doesn’t take a genius to realize that with less possession, come fewer scoring chances. That doesn’t mean that the few chances aren’t good ones, but Portugal will be looking to hold on to the ball as much as possible in order to prevent its opponents from establishing a rhythm, and when you’re playing teams like Brazil, who come at you in waves, that may prove half the battle.

Reason 3: Cristiano Ronaldo – One of the more recent theories concerning the Portuguese maintains that the team is better sans Ronaldo. The reasoning behind the theory is that when the winger is on the field, his teammates will look to get him the ball as much as possible at the expense of better options. Additionally, the question remains of where to play Ronaldo on the field, as he can play equally well as a winger (his original position), or as a forward (the position he now plays at Real Madrid). Queiroz was reluctant to play Ronaldo as a forward during qualifying, but Portugal’s recent tune-up friendlies against Cape Verde and Cameroon suggest that the manager is willing to give his star player more tactical freedom behind the striker, which seems to be Sporting Lisbon’s Liedson. Nevertheless, whatever position Ronaldo will be employed in, chances are he won’t disappoint in South Africa. At 25, Ronaldo is aware that this could be his last chance to perform in the world’s biggest stage, as there are concerns about Portugal’s next generation football, and whether it will be able to sustain the team’s recent success. Furthermore, Ronaldo is obsessed with the idea of being ranked among the greatest players ever, and he understands that that will only be accomplished if he delivers stellar performances in the African continent.

Potential Handicap: Goal scoring – It is no secret that Portugal’s biggest weakness has been its inability to score goals. Long gone are the days of Eusebio, and while Pauleta replaced the “Black Panther” as the team’s all-time best scorer, he was often criticized for not scoring in the big games. Ronaldo will be Portugal’s major scoring threat during the tournament, but the captain has never been able to translate his club scoring form into the national team, and Liedson hasn’t had enough time to prove that he can do for his adopted nation, what he’s done for the Lisbon Lions in the Portuguese league. Much hope will be placed on Portugal’s midfield, which has recently carried the team’s goal-scoring burdens. One thing is certain: if Portugal fail to find the back of the net regularly enough, they can forget about getting out of their group, as something tells me that the games against the Ivory Coast and Brazil will end up being shootouts.

What To Watch Out For:
Everyone thinks that Portugal’s game against the Ivory Coast will be the most important for the Iberians; however, I see their game against North Korea as the real decider. Everyone is writing off the Asians as nothing more than sacrificial lambs that should be happy to even be at the party, but don’t be surprised if they trip one of the big three in the group, and Portugal has a history of underestimating weaker opponents.